- If the RECOGNISE referendum were held today, 75 percent of all Australians and 87 percent of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people say they would vote YES
- A majority of people in a majority of States intend to vote YES – the crucial threshold for a referendum to pass
- Two-thirds of Coalition voters would vote YES in a referendum held now.
IF a referendum vote were held today, three in four Australians (including two in three Coalition voters) would vote yes to recognise Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in the nation’s Constitution!
And in a signal that the crucial double majority (an overall national majority plus a majority in at least four of the six States) can be secured, a majority of people in all States now intend to vote yes.
Undertaken by Polity Research for the RECOGNISE movement in March, the research demonstrates strong backing for this change – both in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities and across the wider Australian community.
RECOGNISE joint campaign director Tanya Hosch said the findings should give even greater confidence to community and political leaders that Australians were eager and ready for our chance to vote to include recognition and get rid of discrimination.
“This confirms that when you ask them to make this decision in a democratic vote, our fellow Australians are prepared to say yes in the sort of overwhelming numbers that would absolutely carry this referendum,” she said.
Two years of crucial grassroots engagement in regional communities across the nation is also affirmed by the new data. While there is strong majority support in both groups, regional & rural voters are now even more strongly inclined than city voters to support recognition. This confirms the experience of relay teams on the 32,000km Journey to Recognition relay making its way across the nation.
The research also confirms continuing support for recognition from the vast majority of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.
Nearly nine in ten Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people – 87 percent – said they would vote yes if they were voting in the referendum today.
The research demonstrates that a majority of conservative voters, a crucial group in a referendum, are willing to vote for recognition. Two in three Coalition voters – 67 percent – would vote yes if casting a referendum vote today.
The research was conducted with large sample sizes, measuring opinion from 2,700 voters from the wider community and 750 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.
The findings come ahead of the 48th anniversary of the 1967 referendum next Wednesday, and in the lead-up to a promised meeting on recognition between the Prime Minister, Opposition Leader and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander leaders.
A Joint Select Committee of the Parliament led by Liberal MP Ken Wyatt and Labor Senator Nova Peris has been leading detailed community consultation and cross-party discussions on the final model, taking up from the work of the Expert Panel in 2012.
Ms Hosch said the research findings should give confidence to leaders as they seek agreement on the model to be put to voters. It confirms the electorate is strongly prepared to back this change.